Amid all the market turbulence of late, the Fed was a steadying influence. Stocks notched a solid gain last week as upbeat comments from the Fed helped stocks snap their four-week losing streak.
If the tariff news is generally good, then it’s a reason for optimism. If the adjustments turn out to be less meaningful, that can be overlooked if it means that the administration is willing to offer periodic bullish tidbits to the market.
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At the start of 2025, we expect to see a continued dynamic evolution in the sustainable investment market. The regulatory landscape is evolving, with the review and development of both sustainable investment and ‘real economy’ regulations across multiple global regions.
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The S&P 500 is not often down for five consecutive weeks, so one has to think this might be the week the market attempts a rebound. There’s a good chance of a bounce, but whether it happens is another question.
Cracks began to emerge in the bullish USD story during February as poor retail sales and plunging services PMI reinforced negative fiscal headlines.
As tariffs, interest rate expectations and regulatory changes take center stage and uncertainty remains a key theme, investors should focus on sectors poised to benefit from policy shifts.
The cooler-than-expected CPI report initially pushed equities higher after the news, but once implied volatility reset, the rally fizzled, and choppy price action took over.
By Tuesday's close, all three averages were down 3 percent on the week, and the S&P had given up its post-election gains. Stocks fell as tariffs affected Canada, Mexico, and China. Each country announced retaliatory tariffs of their own, further fanning inflationary fears among investors.
While domestic macro challenges and external geopolitical uncertainties remain unsettled, market optimism has clearly risen on the back of Chinese AI developments. As the February rally wasn’t a broad-based one, fundamental research on the industry and sector level would be important for investors interested in the Chinese equity market.
Current market dynamics require investors to remain on high alert and differentiate between signal and noise. And that means continuing to climb the wall of worry in 2025.