Volatile trading on Wall Street has risk assets and fixed income swinging from gains to losses indecisively as investors await clarity on AI and the status of employment prior to making bold wagers.
Many small-cap industries and sectors outpaced their large-cap counterparts over this 6-month period, a sign of the broadening equity rally and the role of other secular investment themes in play.
If the labor market is nearing a bottom and job creation surprises to the upside, investors may need to rethink the consensus Fed path.
US inflation is expected to settle in the upper 2% range through 2026, a level historically linked to strong corporate profits and healthy equity market returns, creating a favorable economic backdrop.
Resource availability has a crucial impact on understanding the economics of many industries. In the defense and transportation area, China is the lead country to watch because of its dominant position in many rare earth materials.
Going into a shutdown mode helps tide over the dark days, while one waits for light. This helps to recharge depleted reserves and emerge stronger, provided it is purposeful and time-bound.
Markets wobbled following the FOMC’s decision to cut interest rates, and Chair Powell's comments that the Fed may not adjust rates in December.
The credit spreads on the CDX High-Yield Index widened, which is noteworthy because stocks and credit spreads generally tend to move in the same direction. It also seems that free cash flow for stocks does matter.
As the world faces the concurrent challenges of the energy transition, energy security and slowing economic and productivity growth, Japan’s government has launched an ambitious $1trn transition plan called the GX (green transformation) strategy. The GX strategy aims to cut emissions, improve efficiency and boost green innovation throughout the Japanese economy.
A friendship is formed through learning, and a common bond is established over their shared views on various subjects in which they both participate. We can apply this idea to the current state of affairs in the investment world.
Stocks achieved records for the fourth consecutive session this morning as AI enthusiasm, robust corporate earnings, trade deal optimism and dovish monetary policy expectations encouraged risk-taking on Wall Street.
As the calendar has now turned squarely into Q4, the sweepstakes for who will be nominated as next Chair of the Federal Reserve will no doubt increase. Current Chair Powell’s term does not end until May 2026, but according to published reports, it looks like the Trump Administration could make an announcement as soon as January.