The UST yield curve has been inverted, but there is speculation about when it will “un” invert and move out of negative territory. The potential for Fed rate cuts could impact the timing of the yield curve moving out of negative territory, with the UST 2-Year/10-Year spread potentially being the first to do so.
Monthly Archives: July 2024
16 posts
Stocks finished the last week of June and Q2 mixed as investors digested a fresh round of economic data
News of slower job growth, slowing wage growth, and a slight uptick in unemployment helped drive down Treasury yields, and stocks finished the short week with a strong rally
We discuss various parts of the consumer reaction function that help explain the divergence between consumer sentiment and some important pieces of macro data. We also give thoughts on what this disconnect may mean for consumer and voter behavior.