Disclaimer: Dan is short MTS and PGP in his Covestor Long-Short Opportunistic model.
The below text is licensed to Covestor Ltd. (“Covestor”), by Dan Plettner. Such text may be disseminated only by Covestor. Dan Plettner invests and receives income for securities research, including “buy-side” research. Dan licenses his own real time trading data to Covestor Ltd. (“Covestor”). Covestor is a Registered Investment Advisor that uses Dan Plettner’s data to create the Core, Long Short Opportunistic, Tax Advantaged Income, MLP Direct Ownership, and Taxable Income models for its clients. Dan’s words should not be misconstrued as investment advice.
October 19, 2010: Friday afternoons and weekends have long been observed an opportune time for low profile public companies and Closed-End Funds to disseminate undesirable but market-relevant news. The conspiracy theory explanation infers that if nobody is around on Friday afternoons, the news will be ignored or forgotten by the time Monday rolls around. I’m not a big believer in the theory, but I attempt to be alert at all times.
On Friday afternoon, October 15th 2010 I shorted Montgomery Street Income Securities (MTS) at $16.39 in the account licensed to Covestor’s Long Short Opportunistic model shortly after the closed-end fund announced a distribution cut from 22 cents to 17 cents. Based on Friday’s $17.53 closing Net Asset Value (“NAV”), the new quarterly distribution represented an annualized rate of nearly 3.8%, down from an excess of 5%. As a Closed-End Income Fund, MTS’ peer group frequently trades on yield.
My thesis calls for a long, slow bleed in MTS relative valuation as Institutional Holders such as SIT Investment Associates (whose most recent 13-F reported owning nearly a million shares), 1607 Capital Partners, and Claymore Advisors may be in an undesirable position for which they would recognize the illiquidity challenges of a prompt exit.
I am short MTS because I believe its shares will prove to trade largely on yield, and because of my views on governance within this and other Allianz family Closed-End Funds. Among Allianz’ Closed-End Funds, I am also short Allianz’ Pimco Global Stocks Plus (PGP) which trades at a greater than 65% premium to its NAV. I recently contributed an article to Seeking Alpha which observes Allianz’ Closed-End Fund governance.