There has been a lot of talk recently about a possible double-dip recession. I think many investors are overreacting, not because I think another recession is unlikely, but because most people don't really know much about the economy and how economies work in general (myself included). The economy is too large and complicated for anyone to fully comprehend. It's a worldwide complex adaptive system with billions of moving parts. Trying to predict the economy is like trying to predict the stock market.